National League North | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 1pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
1 - 1
Brackley Town

Pinchard (5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carline (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawBrackley Town
16.66% (0.657 0.66)20.87% (0.569 0.57)62.47% (-1.224 -1.22)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.456 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (-1.329 -1.33)43.71% (1.331 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (-1.315 -1.32)66.1% (1.316 1.32)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (0.012 0.01)39.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (0.013999999999999 0.01)76.18% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (-0.77 -0.77)13.41% (0.769 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65% (-1.569 -1.57)40.34% (1.568 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 16.66%
    Brackley Town 62.46%
    Draw 20.87%
Gloucester CityDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 4.92% (0.282 0.28)
2-1 @ 4.59% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.29% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.42% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.66%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.293 0.29)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.302 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.87%
0-2 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.16% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.65% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-4 @ 3.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 62.46%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Brackley Town
2-0
Gloucester City
Newton (16'), Murombedzi (85')
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Brackley Town
2-2
Gloucester City
Brackley Town win 4-3 on penalties
Robinson (71'), Matwasa (80')
Phillips (51'), Spence (90+10')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Brackley Town
4-0
Gloucester City
Armson (5'), Rooney (28'), Matwasa (31'), Amantchi (87')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Gloucester City
0-1
Brackley Town
York (27')