National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
1 - 2
Tamworth

Wright (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Milnes (75'), Creaney (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-7 Boston
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawTamworth
15.6% (-7.064 -7.06)20.35% (-4.459 -4.46)64.05% (11.517 11.52)
Both teams to score 51.73% (1.847 1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61% (8.628 8.63)43.39% (-8.633 -8.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22% (7.966 7.97)65.78% (-7.972 -7.97)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-2.829 -2.83)40.64% (2.822 2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-2.645 -2.65)77.23% (2.64 2.64)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (6.928 6.93)12.84% (-6.933 -6.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (12.624 12.62)39.2% (-12.631 -12.63)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 15.6%
    Tamworth 64.04%
    Draw 20.35%
Gloucester CityDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 4.7% (-2.573 -2.57)
2-1 @ 4.34% (-1.389 -1.39)
2-0 @ 2.12% (-1.42 -1.42)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.555 -0.56)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.6%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-2.135 -2.14)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-2.26 -2.26)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 10.99% (1.168 1.17)
0-1 @ 10.71% (-1.41 -1.41)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.347 0.35)
0-3 @ 7.52% (2.214 2.21)
1-3 @ 6.77% (1.611 1.61)
0-4 @ 3.86% (1.709 1.71)
1-4 @ 3.47% (1.384 1.38)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.54 0.54)
0-5 @ 1.58% (0.887 0.89)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.548 0.55)
1-5 @ 1.43% (0.748 0.75)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 64.04%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Tamworth
1-0
Gloucester City
Deacon (89')