National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
1 - 0
Farsley Celtic

Luk Leban (65' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Misambo (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 73.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 8.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.68%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawFarsley Celtic
73.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)8.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 39.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)69.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)11.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.09%
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.34% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)88.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 73.91%
    Farsley Celtic 8.69%
    Draw 17.4%
TamworthDrawFarsley Celtic
2-0 @ 14.87%
1-0 @ 13.68%
3-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 73.91%
1-1 @ 8.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.4%
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 8.69%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farsley Celtic
2-2
Tamworth
Stephenson (53'), Carroll (75')
Willets (19'), Milnes (90+2' pen.)