Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 69.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tamworth in this match.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Spennymoor Town
69.22% ( 0.19)	18.67% ( -0.09)	12.11% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33% (

0.17)

43.67% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94% (

0.16)

66.06% (

-0.16)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.51% (

0.1)

11.49% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.65% (

0.21)

36.35% (

-0.21)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.01% (

-0.05)

45.99% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.28% (

-0.05)

81.71% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 69.21%

Spennymoor Town 12.11%

Draw 18.67%

Tamworth	Draw	Spennymoor Town
2-0 @ 12.36% 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.21%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.67%	0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 12.11%