National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Chorley

Spennymoor
0 - 2
Chorley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Calveley (16'), Ubaezuonu (56')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 2-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
33.31% (0.799 0.8)24.52% (0.061999999999998 0.06)42.17% (-0.86 -0.86)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)44.02% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)66.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.47 0.47)25.6% (-0.469 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (0.634 0.63)60.47% (-0.634 -0.63)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.404 -0.4)20.97% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.636 -0.64)53.72% (0.637 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 33.31%
    Chorley 42.17%
    Draw 24.51%
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.122 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.17%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Spennymoor
2-1
Chorley
Taylor (7'), Blackett (29')
Ustabasi (2')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Chorley
2-0
Spennymoor
Shenton (4'), Ustabasi (62')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Spennymoor
2-0
Chorley
Taylor (18' pen.), Anderson (51')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
0-2
Spennymoor

Smith (42')
Taylor (62'), Anderson (85')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Spennymoor
P-P
Chorley