Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.