Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Blyth Spartans	Draw	Chorley
36.05% ( 0.2)	25.92% ( 0.03)	38.03% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.16% (

-0.13)

49.83% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17% (

-0.12)

71.83% (

0.12)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

0.05)

26.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.99% (

0.07)

62.01% (

-0.07)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

-0.19)

25.62% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49% (

-0.26)

60.51% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Blyth Spartans 36.05%

Chorley 38.03%

Draw 25.91%

Blyth Spartans	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.05%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.03%