Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 0
P'boro Sports

Calveley (7'), Johnson (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawPeterborough Sports
51.55% (0.112 0.11)24.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)23.84% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.136 0.14)50.1% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.12 0.12)72.07% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.099000000000004 0.1)19.42% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (0.162 0.16)51.25% (-0.162 -0.16)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.016999999999996 0.02)35.65% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)72.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 51.54%
    Peterborough Sports 23.84%
    Draw 24.6%
ChorleyDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 51.54%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Chorley
1-0
P'boro Sports
Sampson (90+1' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm