National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 79' goal
  • goal Jack Tolley 55'
  • goal Jack Tolley 56'
  • goal Alex Babos 75'

Chorley vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Chorley 2 - 1 South Shields
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Carlton Ubaezuonu

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Alfreton 3 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 53.13% (+0.01)
Draw 24.49% (-0.01)
Hereford United 22.38% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 51.04% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.1% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.9% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.72% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.29% (-0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 80.84% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.18% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.82% (-0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 62.46% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.54% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.32% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 53.12%
Draw 24.49%
Hereford United 22.38%
Chorley
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.49%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.38%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jonathan Ustabasi 51' goal
  • Connor Hall 53' goal
National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Marco Rus 62' goal
  • goal Harvey Smith 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Blakeman 58' goal
  • Brad Holmes 65' goal
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
  • goal Jaanai Gordon 14'
  • goal Miles Storey 89'
National League North Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Storey 81' goal
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jared Hodgkiss 59' goal
  • Lenell John-Lewis 88' goal
  • goal Lewis Reily 84'
  • goal Andy Halls 87'