National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mike Calveley 31' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 68' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 45'+3'

Chorley vs South Shields - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Rushall Olympic 5 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Carlton Ubaezuonu

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
South Shields 2 - 0 King's Lynn
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result

Chorley 39.87% (+0.68)
Draw 26.39% (+0.11)
South Shields 33.74% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.9% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 52.1% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 26.17% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 73.83% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 12.11% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 87.89% (+0.32)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 74.34% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 25.66% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.43% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.57% (-0.15)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5 70.76% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 29.24% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 34.8% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 65.2% (+0.95)

Score analysis

Chorley 39.86%
Draw 26.39%
South Shields 33.74%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.2% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.54% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.94% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.15% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.51% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.08)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.39%
South Shields
0-1 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 33.74%