National League North | Gameweek 13

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

P'boro Sports
2 - 0
Southport

Lawler (73' pen.), Fowkes (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

J. (90+3')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Banbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 2-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough Sports	Draw	Southport
39.39% ( -1.42)	27.49% ( 0.09)	33.12% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 49% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.4% (

-0.05)

56.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.04)

77.57% (

0.04)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

-0.82)

28.03% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

-1.05)

63.68% (

1.05)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.09% (

0.89)

31.91% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.64% (

1.01)

68.36% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Peterborough Sports 39.38%

Southport 33.11%

Draw 27.49%

Peterborough Sports	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.38%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.11%