National League North | Gameweek 12

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 1
Gloucester City

Holmes (46'), Flowers (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (54')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 2-3 Southport
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: Gloucester City 0-2 Chorley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Gloucester City
41.93% ( -0)	26.13% ( 0)	31.94% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52% (

51.48% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71% (

73.28% (

-0)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69%

24.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31%

58.69% (

-0)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

0.01)

30.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

66.26% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Southport 41.93%

Gloucester City 31.94%

Draw 26.12%

Southport	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.11% Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.94%