National League North | Gameweek 17

Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Croft Park

Blyth Spartans
3 - 3
Southport

Knight (18' pen.), Hickey (36'), Ndjoli (38')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Bainbridge (22'), Holmes (50'), Watson (82')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Blyth Spartans and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blyth Spartans

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-3 Southport
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Blyth Spartans	Draw	Southport
45.5% ( 1.1)	24.78% ( -0.67)	29.72% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 56.25% (

1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

2.68)

46.63% (

-2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

2.46)

68.9% (

-2.46)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

1.61)

20.56% (

-1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

2.49)

53.08% (

-2.49)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

1.05)

29.18% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

1.28)

65.13% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Blyth Spartans 45.5%

Southport 29.72%

Draw 24.77%

Blyth Spartans	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.72%