Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.