MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 01:28:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 2
Buxton

Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 2-2 Chorley
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Southport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
39.26% (-0.943 -0.94) 27.52% (0.365 0.36) 33.22% (0.57700000000001 0.58)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.96 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.282 -1.28)56.69% (1.281 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-1.04 -1.04)77.65% (1.04 1.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-1.132 -1.13)28.15% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.46 -1.46)63.83% (1.46 1.46)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)31.89% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.298 -0.3)68.33% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 39.25%
    Buxton 33.21%
    Draw 27.52%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.25%
1-1 @ 13% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.432 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.415 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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