National League North | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
Chorley

Boston
2 - 2
Chorley

Rowe (24'), Ward (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nolan (88'), Ubaezuonu (90+7')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawChorley
36.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)36.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.93% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (0.013000000000005 0.01)51.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (0.013000000000002 0.01)73.58% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (0.020000000000003 0.02)62.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81%27.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 36.71%
    Chorley 36.9%
    Draw 26.39%
Boston UnitedDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.9%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Chorley
2-3
Boston
Smith (22'), Hall (78')
Wright (43', 51'), Chadwick (53')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Boston
1-4
Chorley
Crawford (80')
Ustabasi (21', 71'), Hall (24'), Whitehouse (74')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Chorley
2-1
Boston
Ustabasi (28', 67')
Abbott (54')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Boston
2-2
Chorley
Green (35'), Wright (90+3')
Tomlinson (53' pen.), Cardwell (67')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chorley
0-0
Boston