National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Jordan Burrow 40' goal
  • Jake Hull 80' goal
  • goal Jason Cowley 60'

Buxton vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
Buxton 1 - 2 Farsley Celtic
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Diego De Girolamo

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
Hereford 4 - 1 Banbury
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result

Buxton 57.53% (+1.44)
Draw 22.47% (-0.64)
Hereford United 20.01% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.57% (+1.67)
Under 2.5 45.43% (-1.67)
Over 3.5 32.23% (+1.57)
Under 3.5 67.77% (-1.57)
Over 4.5 16.24% (+1.12)
Under 4.5 83.76% (-1.11)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 84.47% (+1.08)
Under 0.5 15.53% (-1.08)
Over 1.5 55.54% (+1.97)
Under 1.5 44.46% (-1.97)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 63.28% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 36.72% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 26.49% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 73.51% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Buxton 57.52%
Draw 22.47%
Hereford United 20.01%
Buxton
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.37)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.89% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.15% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 6.14% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 2.86% (+0.22)
4-0 @ 2.86% (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.12)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-93.94)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-94.14)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-96.88)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.47%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 20.01%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • goal Kane Thompson-Sommers 55'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Luke Haines 67' goal
  • Harry Pinchard 85' goal