National League North | Gameweek 12

Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Tamworth

De Girolamo (39'), Kirby (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Deacon (90+5' pen.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Tamworth

All competitions

Last Game: Tamworth 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Tamworth
38.87% ( 1.62)	27.77% ( 0.05)	33.36% ( -1.67)

Both teams to score 48.25% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.42% (

-0.36)

57.57% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-0.28)

78.35% (

0.28)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

0.78)

28.79% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

0.97)

64.64% (

-0.97)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

-1.28)

32.24% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26% (

-1.48)

68.74% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Buxton 38.86%

Tamworth 33.35%

Draw 27.76%

Buxton	Draw	Tamworth
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.35%