King's Lynn
National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Walks

King's Lynn
1 - 3
Buxton

Hargreaves (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McKeown (55'), De Girolamo (76'), Boden (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between King's Lynn Town and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
King's Lynn TownDrawBuxton
42.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.15% (0.026 0.03)31.1% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (-0.108 -0.11)51.85% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (-0.093 -0.09)73.61% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)24.06% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)58.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)30.88% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.067 -0.07)67.16% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    King's Lynn Town 42.75%
    Buxton 31.1%
    Draw 26.14%
King's Lynn TownDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.75%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.1%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
King's Lynn
1-1
Buxton
Cosgrove (40')
De Girolamo (63')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Buxton
1-0
King's Lynn
Elliott (29')