National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 6' goal

Hereford United vs Brackley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Hereford
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Brackley Town 1 - 1 South Shields
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Danny Newton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result

Hereford United 40.72% (-3.65)
Draw 27.49% (-0.79)
Brackley Town 31.79% (+4.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% (+4.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.14% (+4.32)
Under 2.5 56.86% (-4.33)
Over 3.5 22.22% (+3.35)
Under 3.5 77.78% (-3.35)
Over 4.5 9.64% (+1.95)
Under 4.5 90.36% (-1.95)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 72.59% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.4% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 37.12% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.88% (-0.11)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (+5.74)
Under 0.5 32.96% (-5.75)
Over 1.5 30.45% (+5.90)
Under 1.5 69.54% (-5.90)

Score analysis

Hereford United 40.72%
Draw 27.48%
Brackley Town 31.78%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.69% (-2.05)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-1.31)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.56)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.30)
4-1 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.18)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-1.60)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.67)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.48%
Brackley Town
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.2% (+1.02)
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.77)
1-3 @ 2.66% (+0.71)
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.55)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.46)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.78%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Ryan Lloyd 24' goal
  • Ryan Lloyd 40' goal
  • goal Callum Stead 7'
  • goal Sam Smart 56'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Callum Stead 38' goal
  • Cosmos Matwasa 46' goal
  • goal Jack Evans 90'+1'
National League North Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luke Haines 77' goal
  • Jared Hodgkiss 89' goal
  • goal Luke Haines 3' (OG)
  • goal Jaanai Gordon 32'
National League North Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tre Mitford 54' goal
  • redcard Krystian Pearce 89'
National League North Gameweek 38
May 3, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 17
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Bakare 49' goal
  • Chris Camwell 64' goal