National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 1
South Shields

Newton (27', 27', 28')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Smith (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

South Shields

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 South Shields
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest South Shields win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawSouth Shields
40.92% (0.488 0.49)25.93% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)33.14% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.286 0.29)50.32% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.252 0.25)72.27% (-0.256 -0.26)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (0.379 0.38)24.3% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (0.534 0.53)58.68% (-0.538 -0.54)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.114 -0.11)28.75% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.143 -0.14)64.59% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 40.92%
    South Shields 33.14%
    Draw 25.93%
Brackley TownDrawSouth Shields
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.14%

rhs 2.0


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