National League North Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 55' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+1' goal
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Lebrun Mbeka 27'

Hereford United vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Bishop's Stortford 0 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jason Cowley

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Spennymoor 2 - 3 Buxton
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result

Hereford United 55.78% (-0.24)
Draw 23.46% (+0.10)
Spennymoor Town 20.75% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.3% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 48.7% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 29.19% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 70.8% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 14.12% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 85.88% (+0.15)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 82.71% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 17.29% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 52.37% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 47.63% (+0.31)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.17%
Under 0.5 37.83% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.4% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.6% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Hereford United 55.77%
Draw 23.45%
Spennymoor Town 20.75%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.47% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 55.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 23.45%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 6.36% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.42% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (-98.10)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.75%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Josh Popoola 27' goal
  • Will Harris 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Paul Blackett 90'+2' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Rob Ramshaw 14' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 45'+1' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 49' goal
  • goal Jordan Thewlis 23'
  • goal Jordan Thewlis 34'
  • goal Mark Anderson 84'
National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Thewlis 68' goal
National League North Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Glen Taylor 24'
  • goal Glen Taylor 41'
National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 17, 2021 3.00pm