National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
1 - 2
Curzon Ashton

M. (4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayhurst (76' pen.), Sinclair (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Boston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Barnet
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawCurzon Ashton
51.18% (-1.933 -1.93)23.76% (0.361 0.36)25.06% (1.569 1.57)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.57 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)45.45% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.07 -0.07)67.78% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.744 -0.74)17.79% (0.743 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.5% (-1.3 -1.3)48.5% (1.299 1.3)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (1.293 1.29)32.08% (-1.294 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (1.446 1.45)68.56% (-1.446 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 51.18%
    Curzon Ashton 25.06%
    Draw 23.76%
Spennymoor TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.398 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.18%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.245 0.25)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.307 0.31)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.06%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Curzon Ashton
1-0
Spennymoor
Peers (38' pen.)
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Spennymoor
0-0
Curzon Ashton
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Curzon Ashton
0-3
Spennymoor
Taylor (8', 68'), Brierley (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Spennymoor
2-2
Curzon Ashton
McLean (39'), Taylor (59')
McKay (80'), Waters (90+2')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Curzon Ashton
P-P
Spennymoor