Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.