National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows
King's Lynn

Darlington
1 - 2
King's Lynn

Hazel (16')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barrett (1', 21')
Crowther (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 4-0 Darlington
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-3 Buxton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
32.6% (0.044000000000004 0.04)26.7% (0.07 0.07)40.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.272 -0.27)53.62% (0.271 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.23 -0.23)75.12% (0.229 0.23)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.107 -0.11)30.74% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.128 -0.13)67.01% (0.125 0.13)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.188 -0.19)25.92% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.253 -0.25)60.91% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 32.6%
    King's Lynn Town 40.69%
    Draw 26.7%
DarlingtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.69%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Darlington
1-3
King's Lynn
Liddle (72' pen.)
Stephens (32'), Coulson (38'), Omotayo (50')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
King's Lynn
3-0
Darlington
Barrett (5', 51'), Ponticelli (35')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 42
Darlington
P-P
King's Lynn