National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena

Alfreton Town vs Tamworth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Chorley 3 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Tamworth

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 1 Tamworth
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Kyle Finn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 33.57% (-0.79)
Draw 27.24% (+0.49)
Tamworth 39.19% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.87% (-1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (-2.04)
Under 2.5 55.55% (+2.04)
Over 3.5 23.28% (-1.69)
Under 3.5 76.72% (+1.70)
Over 4.5 10.29% (-1.05)
Under 4.5 89.72% (+1.06)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.93% (-1.52)
Under 0.5 31.07% (+1.53)
Over 1.5 32.61% (-1.82)
Under 1.5 67.39% (+1.83)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5 72.36% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 27.64% (+0.80)
Over 1.5 36.81% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 63.19% (+1.04)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 33.57%
Draw 27.23%
Tamworth 39.18%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.04% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 8.59% (+0.66)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
Tamworth
0-1 @ 11.04% (+0.61)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.18%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Callum Cockerill-Mollett 56' redcard
  • goal Jordan Thewlis 51'