Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.