National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Dan Lawler 71' goal
  • goal Liam Waldock 83'

Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 1 - 1 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Daniel Jarvis

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Warrington Town 2 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Peterborough Sports 30.7% (-0.07)
Draw 27.89% (+0.02)
Alfreton Town 41.4% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.12% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.37% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 58.63% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 20.81% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 79.18% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 8.81% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.19% (+0.04)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5 65.32% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.68% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 28.6% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 71.4% (+0.10)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.87% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.52% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Peterborough Sports 30.7%
Draw 27.88%
Alfreton Town 41.4%
Peterborough Sports
1-0 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.66% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.88%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 12.34% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Adam Lund 30' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 88' goal
  • goal Jordan Nicholson 34'
National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Lincoln Road
  • Jordon Crawford 18' goal
  • goal Dayle Southwell 24'
  • goal Matt Rhead 51'
National League North Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Fraser Preston 37' goal
  • Matt Rhead 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ryan Fryatt 57'
  • goal Dan Lawler 87'