Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Buxton
46.22% ( -0.06)	25.24% ( 0)	28.53% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72% (

0.03)

49.28% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

0.03)

71.33% (

-0.03)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

-0.01)

21.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71% (

-0.02)

54.29% (

0.02)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

0.06)

31.4% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

0.06)

67.77% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 46.22%

Buxton 28.53%

Draw 25.24%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.22%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.53%