Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
3 - 0
Blyth Spartans

Salmon (3'), Thewlis (45+2'), Day (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Blyth Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Blyth Spartans

All competitions
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-3 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBlyth Spartans
48.96% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.092000000000002 0.09)26.42% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-0.452 -0.45)48.04% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.416 -0.42)70.21% (0.41799999999999 0.42)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)19.66% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (-0.292 -0.29)51.64% (0.293 0.29)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)32.37% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (-0.351 -0.35)68.89% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 48.96%
    Blyth Spartans 26.42%
    Draw 24.62%
Alfreton TownDrawBlyth Spartans
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 26.42%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Blyth Spartans
1-3
Alfreton
Main (90+1')
Waldock (8'), Salmon (42'), Digie (53')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Alfreton
1-0
Blyth Spartans
Rhead (53' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Blyth Spartans
2-2
Alfreton
O'Donnell (70'), Scott (79')
Hobson (4'), Rhead (90+10' pen.)
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Alfreton
0-1
Blyth Spartans
Maguire (80')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Blyth Spartans
2-0
Alfreton
O'Donnell (49', 65')