National League North | Gameweek 27

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Chorley

Cantrill (35'), Waldock (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Alfreton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Spennymoor 0-2 Chorley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Chorley
44.67% ( -0.11)	25.31% ( 0.36)	30.02% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.2% (

-1.67)

48.8% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

-1.53)

70.9% (

1.53)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.75)

21.83% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

-1.15)

55.06% (

1.16)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

-1.01)

30.08% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

-1.23)

66.22% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 44.67%

Chorley 30.02%

Draw 25.31%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.67%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 30.02%