National League North
Gameweek
31
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-
Markus Carver
24'
-
Markus Carver
45'+7'
-
Liam Waldock
12'
-
Jake Day
88'
-
Gerry McDonagh
90'
Southport vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Southport had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result
Southport
27.9%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
27.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Alfreton Town
44.81%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
47.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.42%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
57.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
21.64%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
78.36%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
9.29%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
90.71%
▼
(-0.07)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5
63.72%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
36.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
26.93%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
73.07%
▼
(-0.21)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
74.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
39.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
60.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Southport
27.9%
Draw
27.29%
Alfreton Town
44.8%
Southport
1-0
@
9.42%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 27.9%
2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 27.9%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
0-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.29%
0-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.29%
Alfreton Town
0-1
@
12.65%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.8%
1-2 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.8%