National League North | Gameweek 25

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
3 - 2
Southport

Mols (45+2'), Hughes (70'), Spencer (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Holmes (13'), Flowers (35')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 0-4 King's Lynn
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Southport
65.18% ( 0.09)	20.04% ( -0.02)	14.79% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38% (

-0.03)

43.62% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

-0.03)

66.01% (

0.02)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.41% (

0.01)

12.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.32% (

0.03)

38.68% (

-0.04)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.12% (

-0.11)

41.88% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66% (

-0.09)

78.33% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 65.17%

Southport 14.79%

Draw 20.04%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Southport
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 65.17%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.04%	0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.79%