National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Stefan Mols 45'+2' goal
  • Rhys Hughes 70' goal
  • Jimmy Spencer 82' goal
  • goal Brad Holmes 13'
  • goal Harry Flowers 35'

Curzon Ashton vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Chorley 4 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jimmy Spencer

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 4 King's Lynn
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Markus Carver

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 65.18%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Southport had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result

Curzon Ashton 65.18% (+0.09)
Draw 20.04% (-0.03)
Southport 14.79% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.38% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.62% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.99% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.01% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.51% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.48% (+0.02)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 87.41% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 12.59% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 61.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 38.68% (-0.04)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 58.12% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 41.88% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.66% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 78.33% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Curzon Ashton 65.17%
Draw 20.04%
Southport 14.79%
Curzon Ashton
2-0 @ 11.32% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 10.92% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.05% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 65.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.04%
Southport
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Jordan Archer 22' goal
  • Jordan Archer 38' goal
  • goal Sam Walker 62'
National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Adam Barton 65' goal
  • goal Niall Watson 27'
National League North Gameweek 20
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Dunn 65' redcard
National League North Gameweek 16
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
National League North Gameweek 14
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Markus Carver 18' goal
  • Connor Woods 74' goal
  • goal Harry Flowers 72'
  • goal Dan Cowan 90'+2'