Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.