National League North Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)
  • Joe Hanks 9' goal
  • Danny Wright 72' goal
  • Alefe Santos 75' goal

Gloucester City vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Gloucester City 0 - 1 Darlington
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Brandon Smalley

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 2 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Jimmy Spencer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result

Gloucester City 37.51% (-0.57)
Draw 25.79% (+0.07)
Curzon Ashton 36.71% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.98% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 49.22% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 28.72% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 71.28% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 13.79% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 86.21% (+0.16)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5 74.37% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 25.63% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 39.48% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 60.52% (+0.59)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 73.92% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 26.08% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 38.87% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 61.13% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Gloucester City 37.51%
Draw 25.78%
Curzon Ashton 36.71%
Gloucester City
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 37.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.68% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
Curzon Ashton
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.04% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.71% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.71%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Jimmy Spencer 8' goal
  • Hayden Campbell 47' goal
  • Tom Peers 70' goal
  • Tom Peers 73' goal
  • goal Tope Obadeyi 16'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 28'
  • goal Dominic McHale 88'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
  • goal Tom Peers 53'
  • goal Josh Hancock 59'
  • goal Tom Peers 63'
National League North Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Connor Dimaio 6' goal
  • goal Dan King 60'
  • goal Fabien Robert 88'
National League North Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jordon Thompson 24' goal
  • goal Adam Thomas 10'
  • goal Adam Thomas 83'
National League North Gameweek 33
National League North Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kevin Dawson 51'