Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.