National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Meadow Park (Gloucester, Gloucestershire)

Gloucester City
1 - 3
Warrington Town

B. (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Woods (3'), Amis (25+25', 68+68')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Warrington Town

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawWarrington Town
30.49% (-0.208 -0.21)26.53% (-0.035 -0.04)42.98% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (0.056000000000001 0.06)75.11% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.113 -0.11)32.2% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.13 -0.13)68.69% (0.128 0.13)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (0.15000000000001 0.15)24.73% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (0.21 0.21)59.28% (-0.212 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 30.49%
    Warrington Town 42.97%
    Draw 26.52%
Gloucester CityDrawWarrington Town
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.97%

rhs 2.0


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