National League North | Gameweek 15

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
1 - 0
Gloucester City

Ward (48', 48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wright (90')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Boston 1-2 Banbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston United in this match.

Result
Boston United	Draw	Gloucester City
53.46% ( 0.18)	23.8% ( -0.07)	22.74% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

0.14)

47.85% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

0.13)

70.04% (

-0.14)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

0.12)

17.83% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.42% (

0.21)

48.57% (

-0.21)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57% (

-0.03)

35.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81% (

-0.03)

72.18% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Boston United 53.46%

Gloucester City 22.74%

Draw 23.8%

Boston United	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.74%