Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Scunthorpe United in this match.