National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
4 - 0
Southport

Tshikuna (6'), Acquaye (25'), Wreh (39'), Finn (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Southport
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 8.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawSouthport
75.3% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)15.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)8.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.011000000000003 0.01)62.21% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)30.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)49.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)84.42% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 75.29%
    Southport 8.9%
    Draw 15.8%
TamworthDrawSouthport
2-0 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 75.29%
1-1 @ 7.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.8%
0-1 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 2.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.9%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Southport
0-0
Tamworth
Willets (49')