Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 75.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Southport had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.