National League North | Gameweek 17
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 0
Tamworth

Whitehouse (11'), Windsor (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 3-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawTamworth
39.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)27.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)33.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.63% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)77.6% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.028999999999996 0.03)28.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (0.035000000000004 0.04)63.86% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)68.22% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 39.17%
    Tamworth 33.32%
    Draw 27.51%
Chester FCDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.17%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.32%