National League North | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
King's Lynn

Tamworth
3 - 1
King's Lynn

Dolman (1'), Jellis (41'), Deacon (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ponticelli (83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-0 King's Lynn
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawKing's Lynn Town
52.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)25.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)22.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)52.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.96% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 52.17%
    King's Lynn Town 22.76%
    Draw 25.06%
TamworthDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 22.76%