National League North | Gameweek 22

Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 0
Darlington

Bennett (18', 88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Southport
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Darlington
44.11% ( -0.92)	26.58% ( 0.8)	29.3% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.7% (

-3.12)

54.29% (

3.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.31% (

-2.67)

75.69% (

2.67)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-1.8)

24.47% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

-2.6)

58.91% (

2.6)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

-1.54)

33.43% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

-1.72)

70.07% (

1.72)

Score Analysis

Southport 44.11%

Darlington 29.3%

Draw 26.58%

Southport	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.3%