National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
0 - 3
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Spencer (7', 84'), Mols (28')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-2 Southport
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-2 Southport
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
36.18% (0.029000000000003 0.03)26.48% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)37.34% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)52.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.022000000000002 0.02)73.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)63.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.5% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Southport 36.18%
    Curzon Ashton 37.34%
    Draw 26.47%
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.34%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
3-2
Southport
Mols (45+2'), Hughes (70'), Spencer (82')
Holmes (13'), Flowers (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southport
2-1
Curzon Ashton
Archer (22', 38')
Walker (62')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
1-1
Southport
Barton (65')
Watson (27')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm