National League North
Gameweek
12
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-
Harvey Smith
34'
-
Jack Hazlehurst
44'
-
Carlton Ubaezuonu
77'
-
81'
-
81'
-
81'
-
81'
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81'
-
81'
-
81'
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81'
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81'
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81'
-
81'
-
Adam Blakeman
18'
(OG)
-
Harry Perritt
48'
Chorley vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Chorley
41.66%
▲
(+0.36)
Draw
27.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Alfreton Town
31.27%
▼
(-0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
49.72%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
55.43%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
23.37%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
76.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
10.34%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
89.66%
▲
(+0.13)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
73.76%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
26.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
38.65%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
61.35%
▼
(-0.10)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
67.41%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
32.59%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
30.87%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
69.13%
▲
(+0.46)
Score analysis
Chorley
41.66%
Draw
27.06%
Alfreton Town
31.27%
Chorley
1-0
@
11.44%
▲
(+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.66%
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.82%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.06%
0-0 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.06%
Alfreton Town
0-1
@
9.59%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.27%
1-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.27%