Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
0 - 2
Chester

FT(HT: 0-2)
Peers (5', 38')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawChester FC
44.15% (-0.119 -0.12)26.33% (0.064 0.06)29.52% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.23 -0.23)53.2% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.195 -0.2)74.77% (0.194 0.19)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)23.97% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (-0.227 -0.23)58.21% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)32.7% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)69.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 44.14%
    Chester FC 29.52%
    Draw 26.32%
ChorleyDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.52%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Chester
0-0
Chorley
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Chester
0-0
Chorley
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chorley
2-2
Chester
Hall (51'), Sampson (87')
Thomas (16'), Stephenson (76')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Chester
1-2
Chorley
Dackers (89' pen.)
Sampson (2', 27')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chorley
4-1
Chester
Cardwell (8', 36'), Shenton (21'), Leather (51')
Cowan (45')
Glendon (80')