National League North | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 0
Gloucester City

Murray (45'), Peers (55'), Glendon (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Southport
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
64.52% (0.073999999999998 0.07)21.15% (-0.023 -0.02)14.33% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.34% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.02300000000001 0.02)14.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)42.62% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-0.073 -0.07)46.02% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)81.73% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 64.51%
    Gloucester City 14.33%
    Draw 21.15%
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.33%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Gloucester City
1-1
Chester
Coates (79' og.)
Thomas (61')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Chester
1-1
Gloucester City
Murray (85')
Phillips (45+1')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Gloucester City
3-3
Chester
Robert (13'), Tomlinson (82'), McClure (90+4')
Dackers (4', 22'), Weeks (18')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chester
3-2
Gloucester City
Dudley (28' pen.), Grand (87'), Glendon (90+8')
Hulbert (59'), Leadbitter (81')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chester
0-0
Gloucester City