National League North | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 0
Warrington Town

Weeks (12'), Caton (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Chester
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Warrington Town

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Banbury
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawWarrington Town
48.3% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)26.84% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.86% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.39% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (0.121 0.12)57.75% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (0.094999999999999 0.09)78.49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)23.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)58.22% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (0.114 0.11)38.97% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (0.108 0.11)75.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 48.3%
    Warrington Town 24.86%
    Draw 26.83%
Chester FCDrawWarrington Town
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.3%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.86%