Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.