National League North | Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
0 - 1
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Osborne (2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawBuxton
52.2% (2.383 2.38)25.32% (-0.64 -0.64)22.48% (-1.742 -1.74)
Both teams to score 48.2% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (0.893 0.89)54.13% (-0.891 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (0.741 0.74)75.55% (-0.741 -0.74)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (1.382 1.38)20.75% (-1.381 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (2.126 2.13)53.38% (-2.125 -2.13)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.82% (-1.146 -1.15)39.18% (1.147 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.11% (-1.092 -1.09)75.89% (1.093 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 52.19%
    Buxton 22.48%
    Draw 25.32%
Chester FCDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.478 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.457 0.46)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.286 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.258 0.26)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.187 0.19)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 52.19%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.48%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Chester
4-0
Buxton
Dudley (20'), Whitehouse (28'), Caton (74'), N'Mai (81')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Buxton
0-0
Chester
rhs 2.0


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