National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
King's Lynn

Buxton
2 - 2
King's Lynn

De Girolamo (64' pen.), Brogan (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stephens (7'), Rogers (40' pen.)
Stephens (35')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
44.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)51.54% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.032 -0.03)73.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.14% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.01% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)31.71% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)68.13% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 44.37%
    King's Lynn Town 29.7%
    Draw 25.93%
BuxtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
King's Lynn
1-3
Buxton
Hargreaves (68')
McKeown (55'), De Girolamo (76'), Boden (90+1')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
King's Lynn
1-1
Buxton
Cosgrove (40')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Buxton
1-0
King's Lynn
Elliott (29')
rhs 2.0


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