Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.