Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 1
Gloucester City

Ubaezuonu (10'), Hazlehurst (28'), Johnson (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Robinson (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawGloucester City
57.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)22.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)20.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.059999999999995 0.06)42.79% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.81% (0.059999999999995 0.06)65.19% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.031000000000006 0.03)14.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (0.058 0.06)42.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)34.72% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)71.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 57.5%
    Gloucester City 20.49%
    Draw 22.01%
ChorleyDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 20.49%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Gloucester City
0-2
Chorley
Sampson (32'), Johnson (36')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Gloucester City
4-3
Chorley
Dada (29'), Barnes-Homer (74', 88'), Obadeyi (90+3')
Rus (45+2'), Calveley (53'), Whitehouse (71')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Chorley
3-0
Gloucester City
Shenton (51'), Whitehouse (53'), Hall (70')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Gloucester City
1-1
Chorley
Robert (90+3')
Holmes (65')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Chorley
9-0
Gloucester City
Cardwell (8'), Calveley (18'), Hall (31', 61'), Jonathan Ustabasi (45'), Baines (53'), Shenton (70'), Blakeman (72'), Alli (76')

Robert (19')
rhs 2.0


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