Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.